Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.066116 0.078205 0.091749 0.108030 0.127055 0.148563 0.174708
2025-05-04 0.047941 0.063656 0.083252 0.109404 0.143310 0.185694 0.242609
2025-05-11 0.037582 0.054626 0.077725 0.111144 0.158062 0.221361 0.312983
2025-05-18 0.031406 0.049207 0.075050 0.115001 0.174851 0.260741 0.392807
2025-05-25 0.025148 0.042132 0.068342 0.111307 0.179451 0.282669 0.449945
2025-06-01 0.021215 0.037735 0.064656 0.111142 0.188674 0.311810 0.520754
2025-06-08 0.017903 0.033662 0.060668 0.109582 0.195015 0.336690 0.587344
2025-06-15 0.015922 0.031494 0.059427 0.112264 0.208468 0.374323 0.678948
2025-06-22 0.013727 0.028511 0.056227 0.110877 0.214416 0.399636 0.752124
2025-06-29 0.011735 0.025549 0.052563 0.107990 0.217054 0.419128 0.816838
2025-07-06 0.010015 0.022819 0.048894 0.104479 0.217884 0.435144 0.876627
2025-07-13 0.009137 0.021700 0.048254 0.106857 0.230409 0.474370 0.984595
2025-07-20 0.008206 0.020332 0.046949 0.107796 0.240405 0.510349 1.091504
2025-07-27 0.007358 0.019008 0.045544 0.108331 0.249666 0.546021 1.202213
2025-08-03 0.006691 0.017992 0.044663 0.109879 0.261277 0.587787 1.330258
2025-08-10 0.006244 0.017439 0.044757 0.113655 0.278296 0.642836 1.492652
2025-08-17 0.005420 0.015757 0.041893 0.109995 0.277757 0.659604 1.573228
2025-08-24 0.004889 0.014757 0.040547 0.109830 0.285396 0.695375 1.700234
2025-08-31 0.004357 0.013654 0.038764 0.108288 0.289459 0.723345 1.812310
2025-09-07 0.004068 0.013197 0.038609 0.110939 0.304296 0.778137 1.993295
2025-09-14 0.003650 0.012272 0.037036 0.109568 0.308644 0.808199 2.118013
2025-09-21 0.003227 0.011251 0.035033 0.106714 0.308708 0.827706 2.218860
2025-09-28 0.002836 0.010250 0.032925 0.103242 0.306633 0.841569 2.306999